World Congress on Risk 2015
19-23 July, 2015, Singapore

Online Program



Session Schedule & Abstracts


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Common abbreviations

Monday 20-07-2015

M4-D
Can risk governance follow the pace of technology innovation? Cognitive Factors and Preceptions of Emerging Risks

Room: Discovery   14:00–15:30

Chair(s): Aleksandar Jovanovic



1    Cognitive factors and perception of emerging risks. Jovanovic A. S., Steinbeis Advanced Risk Technologies (R-Tech); Schneider R., SwissRe   jovanovic@risk-technologies.com (374)

Abstract: This paper looks at the possible influence of cognitive biases (“fast thinking”) onto innovation. It focusses onto the biases that can influence the decision-making in innovation process and the acceptance of innovation. The paper proposes the “10 main biases”: confirmation bias, authority bias, loss aversion bias, conjunction fallacy, decision fatigue, law of small numbers, traps of simple logic, the sleeper effect, the salience effect and implicit association (IAT). The paper looks at the cases in which the perception of emerging risks has been or can be influenced by them (fracking, cyber vulnerability, e-Cigarette, biogas, smart cities, new forms of mobility, the robots, running out of space, shared economies).

2    Risk management for energy storage technologies: the case of Li-ion batteries. Salvi O., EU-VRi; Caillard B., EU-VRi; Amandine L.; Goncalves P.; Bodet J. M.; Roessner, J.   jovanovic@risk-technologies.com (375)

Abstract: The development of the Smart Energy Networks is a key priority to facilitate the transition to a more sustainable energy supply. Li-ion battery is a very promising technology for improving the penetration of renewable energy sources (RES) in the energy mix and enabling a better management of energy in the European grid. In this context, the EU FP7 project STABALID (STAtionary Batteries LI-ion safe Deployment, http://www.stabalid.eu-vri.eu/) has been launched to facilitate the deployment of safe stationary batteries with energy content over 1 MWh and cell size larger than 10 Ah. To this end, the consortium has developed a new safety testing procedure for stationary batteries that has been included in international standards relevant for energy systems. The procedure has been developed based on a detailed risk analysis and the review of international standards applicable for stationary batteries, and taking into account the on-going research work on Li-ion batteries and on Electric Vehicle charging (e.g. FP7 projects HELIOS, MERGE, SOL-ION). The procedure enables to check the safety performance during the whole life cycle of the batteries. In addition, the consortium has proposed a strategy to establish a harmonized EU regulatory framework in order to allow a safe implementation and operation of large Li-ion batteries for grid applications. The project and in particular the testing procedure has been prepared in close cooperation with international experts from the IEC SC21A committee. STABALID project is technically led by a world leading battery manufacturer (SAFT), and involves reference organizations for safety testing, certification, and integrated risk management (INERIS, TÜV SÜD Battery Testing and EU-VRi). The project results contribute to demonstrate safety performance and build trust among the stakeholders and therefore reach public acceptance of these new energy systems.

3    Dynamic Risk Analysis: from updating techniques to Integrated Operations. Paltrinieri Nicola, SINTEF   jovanovic@risk-technologies.com (376)

Abstract: Identification and assessment of hazards and risks in the activities of the process industry are of paramount importance for the prevention of major accidents. Although several techniques of HAZard Identification (HAZID) and quantified risk analysis have often been proved effective in the industry, they generally lack the dynamic dimension of risk management. In other words, they lack the ability to learn from new risk notions, experience and early warnings. When carrying out HAZID and risk assessment, there is the need to know how to deal with atypical accident scenarios as soon as their emergence is demonstrated. The related risk needs to be addressed in an ever-changing environment. In fact, what is not identified or assessed cannot be prevented or mitigated and latent risk is more dangerous than recognized one due to the relative lack of preparedness. On the other hand, the importance of new Information and Communication Technologies (ICT) is rapidly growing in today's industry. So-called Integrated Operations are being developed to improve capture of real-time safety barrier data and to process, visualize and share this information for closer collaboration and expert support. Increased capacity in the communication infrastructure (e.g. via fiber optics) and integration and processing of data from various sources enable more accurate methods of risk analysis that would have been previously considered time-costly. This presentation will give an overview of recently developed techniques of dynamic risk analysis. Reactive and proactive approaches will be presented in the perspective of application within the framework of Integrated Operations and the related benefits or limitations will be highlighted in order to trigger a discussion on the future of such technologies.

4    Risk Governance and emerging technologies: learning from case-study integration. Scheer Dirk, Univ. of Stuttgart, ZIRIUS   jovanovic@risk-technologies.com (377)

Abstract: Risk Governance and emerging technologies: learning from case-study integration Emerging technologies are underway in a wide array of industrial applications and need fields. When innovating on technologies one main objective is to improve the management of safety related to their emerging risks. The iNTeg-risk project undertook 17 case studies covering current key innovations and focusing on their corresponding risks. Thus, a major challenge is to integrate the case-study research into a common framework on adequate future risk and safety concepts that might serve policy and stakeholder decision-makers as a background for risk related decisions in the future. Within this paper, we looked on similarities and disparities on how these case studies assess, manage and communicate risk issues. A telephone survey with case-study task leaders has been carried out in order to identifying the state-of-the-art of how the case studies deal with Risk Governance issues.

5    Technology and human behavior related challenges of autonomous cars. Heinke Andreas, BOSCH   jovanovic@risk-technologies.com (378)

Abstract: The topic of technology and human behavior related challenges of autonomous cars will be addressed from the point of view of global supplier of autonomous cars technology.

6    Discussion: Post-iNTeg-Risk Initiatives and Developments-The Euopean Common House of Industrial Safety. Jovanovic A.    (391)





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