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Society For Risk Analysis Annual Meeting 2007

Risk 007: Agents of Analysis

Session Schedule & Abstracts

* Disclaimer: All presentations represent the views of the authors, and not the organizations that support their research. Please apply the standard disclaimer that any opinions, findings, and conclusions or recommendations in abstracts, posters, and presentations at the meeting are those of the authors and do not necessarily reflect the views of any other organization or agency. Meeting attendees and authors should be aware that this disclaimer is intended to apply to all abstracts contained in this document. Authors who wish to emphasize this disclaimer should do so in their presentation or poster. In an effort to make the abstracts as concise as possible and easy for meeting participants to read, the abstracts have been formatted such that they exclude references to papers, affiliations, and/or funding sources. Authors who wish to provide attendees with this information should do so in their presentation or poster.

Common abbreviations


.0    National Research Council Report on DHS Bioterrorism Risk Analysis . Parnell G*; United States Military Academy

Abstract: At the request of the Department of Homeland Security (DHS), the National Research Council performed a one year study on Methodological Improvements to the Department of Homeland Security’s Biological Agent Risk Analysis. The final report of the committee will be released in Fall 2007. This presentation will identify the national security risks, summarize the DHS methodology, identify the modeling decisions that must be made to provide effective risk analyses that support national homeland security decision-makers, and present the recommendations of the committee to DHS.

.0    Managing Risk to Create Value: The Total Security Management Approach . Ritter LS*; Trident Global Partners

Abstract: Three options exist for firms faced with transportation security challenges: a) do nothing and accept the risk; b) rely upon the governments to adequately meet this threat and secure international transportation; or c) develop and implement a new approach that integrates security across a firm's entire enterprise. For most multinational firms the third option is the only viable choice, for anything else leaves the core corporate responsibility of ensuring resiliency and viability in the hands of someone else. Total Security Management (TSM) is a derivative of the Total Quality Management philosophy. TSM is the business practice of developing and implementing comprehensive risk management and security best practices for a firm's entire supply chain. This approach includes a thorough evaluation of internal and key external suppliers, distribution channels, and policies and procedures in terms of preparedness for disruptive events such as terrorism, political upheaval, natural disasters, and accidents. In order to create value and provide real return on investment through security initiatives, the TSM risk management approach should be used to assess operations and processes for efficiency related to 4 critical asset categories in business: fixed assets, assets in transit, brand equity/goodwill, and human capital. Over time customers, institutional investors, insurance companies, and regulators should also recognize the benefits of this approach. The cumulative, market-driven effect of business entities throughout the world focusing on enterprise security to create value is what can ultimately solve many of the challenges associated with transportation security.

.0    Research for a Sfer Society. Sandberg AS, Byquist HO*; Swedish rescue Services Agency (SRSA)

Abstract: Abstract: poster presentation: SRA conference December 2007. The Swedish Rescue Services Agency (SRSA) works for sustainable development in a safer society in which people and the environment in Sweden and other countries are highly valued. Research within the broad domain of risk management is a strategic, important means to achieving the long-term objectives expressed in the vision of the SRSA: “A full life in a world with an ever decreasing number of accidents and injuries.” In the agencys new four-year research programme “Research for a Safer Society ” a number of specialist areas are described, within which the SRSA wants to stimulate and guarantee good knowledge-development during the period 2007 to 2010. These specialist areas mirrors that the SRSA:  … are a government authority that works for a safer society covering everything from everyday emergencies to disasters and war.  …. concentrates on prevention work to reduce the number of emergencies that occur and thereby also their consequences.  …. takes an active role in international cooperation and maintain a high state of emergency preparedness for humanitarian operations. Calls will be published annually on our website – - opening up for researchers and research groups from Sweden and other countries to apply for research project funding. At our poster presentation we will introduce the research programme with focus on the specialist areas and, also, give some useful hints on how to apply properly. Mr. Hans-Olov Byquist, manager of the research unit of SRSA. Mr. Agne Sandberg, analyst, SRSA.

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